Google AI


Modern Australian

8 surprising things data science has revealed about us over the past decade

  • Written by: Paul X. McCarthy, Adjunct Professor, UNSW Sydney
8 surprising things data science has revealed about us over the past decade

Big data analysis has long supported major feats in physics and astronomy. But more recently we’ve seen it underpin breakthroughs in the social sciences and humanities.

Since the landmark paper Computational Social Science was published in 2009, a new generation of data analytics tools has given researchers insight into fundamental questions about how we communicate, who we are and what we value.

For instance, by analysing the relative frequency of certain words in historical texts, researchers can identify important changes in our use of language over time.

In some cases these shifts will be obvious, such as the use of archaic words being replaced by more contemporary words. But in other cases, they may reflect more subtle but widespread social and cultural changes. Below are some of the most influential data-centric discoveries from the past 10 years.

How we communicate

Over the past decade, a growing number of global open data sources have helped researchers reveal patterns in what we read, write and pay attention to. Google Books, Worldcat and Project Gutenberg are just some examples.

The release of the Google Books n-gram viewer in the early 2010s was a game changer on this front. Using the entire Google Books database, this tool shows you the relative frequency of a specific term or phrase as it has been used over hundreds of years. Researchers have used this data to explore the systematic suppression of the mention of Jewish painters, such as Marc Chagall, in German books during World War II.

Data analysis can also reveal patterns in the expression of human emotions over time. CSIRO’s We Feel tracks emotions in communities around the world. It does this by analysing the language people are using on social media in real time and mapping it out.

The tool can be used to determine the general mood over time (hour by hour, day by day) within particular cities and countries. Patterns in these data can then be explored in association with other information, such as weather, holidays and economic fluctuations.

Some research findings even claim to represent fundamental changes in humans’ social values, community sentiment and how we think (for example, the rise and fall of words associated with rationality such as “method”, “analysis” and “determine”).

Here are some key findings in this space:

  • Cultural turnover is accelerating

    A Harvard University-led analysis of more than a century of data from millions of books provides evidence that society’s attention span for historical events is declining, as appetite for new material grows.

    In other words, we are forgetting the past faster. You can see this in the graph below, which tracks how often three specific years are mentioned across a vast range of literature through time. As time passes, the “half-life” of each year (the point at which it receives just half the attention it had at its peak) comes quicker.

    Counts of mentions of the years 1883, 1910 and 1950 in all books for the past 200 years.
    Our collective attention for historical events has shrunk over the past century. Michel et al., Science 2010
  • Human language diversity and biodiversity are correlated

    By mapping linguistic diversity and the diversity of animal species, researchers have shown these two worlds are correlated geographically – both increasing with temperature and proximity to the equator. So the closer to the equator you get, the more variation there is in spoken language and the greater the variety of species there is.

    The authors propose this is due to heat near the equator producing greater productivity and variety in plant life, which in turn provides more complex and interactive environments for both animals and humans alike – feeding into a cycle whereby “diversity begets more diversity”.

    Three figures showing diversity distributions of language and animals and their relation to geography.
Researchers have shown both linguistic diversity and species diversity increase exponentially with temperature and proximity to the equator. Hamilton, Walker & Kempes, Scientific Reports 2020 There have been society-wide shifts in language use over the past century

In an article published in December researchers used machine learning to show long-term, consistent changes in our use of language. Specifically, they reveal an inflection point in the 1980s where there is a shift towards more egocentric, emotional and supposedly less rational language.

The authors suggest (although not without contest) this could signal the beginning of a “post-truth era”.

Who we are

In the field of psychology, the same data analytics tools have shown that people’s personalities can be measured using the “Big 5” traits, which largely become stable in adulthood.

This was possible thanks to extensive data sets such as HILDA in Australia, the German Socio-Economic Panel in Germany and the British Household Panel Survey in the UK.

Robust studies have also demonstrated that personality traits can be reliably and accurately predicted from a variety of data sources including voice recordings, mobile phone usage patterns and even portrait photographs.

In turn, there have been some remarkable associations found at scale between personality and:

  • Elevation

    A study published in 2020, and based on more than three million people’s data, shows mountain-dwelling people tend to have different personality traits than those who live at sea level. They are generally more open to new experiences and more emotionally stable.

  • Location

    Another earlier study shows people who live in the United States can be divided into three clear and measurable clusters of personality types, linked with associated geographic footprints. New Yorkers and Texans (who are in the same cluster) are more likely to be temperamental and uninhibited.

  • Occupation

    In our own research published with colleagues in 2019, we analysed the personality features of people in more than 1,000 different occupations. We found people in the same role share similar traits. Scientists are more open to new ideas yet ready to argue, whereas tennis professionals tend to be friendly and outgoing.

    The research used machine learning to infer the personality features of more than 100,000 people, based on language used on social media.

Read more: Robot career advisor: AI may soon be able to analyse your tweets to match you to a job

What we value

In economics, we’re seeing major research frontiers being opened up thanks to data analysis, including in:

  • Network science

    When it comes to success, we’ve learnt that performance matters most when it can be measured (like in sport). But in other fields where it can’t be measured easily (like in the art world), networks matter most.

  • Behavioural economics

    We can now see how we behave as individuals en masse, unveiling valuable clues for effective policy interventions around employment, taxation and education. For instance, one large-scale study revealed those quickest to re-enter the workforce displayed certain key behaviours. These included being an early riser and being geographically mobile (perhaps meaning they’re more willing to travel further, or relocate, for work).

Post-theory science?

Some have argued data science poses a fundamental challenge to the traditional sciences, with the emergence of “post-theory science”. This is the concept that machines are better at understanding the relationship between data and reality than the traditional scientific method of hypothesise, predict and test.

However, reports of the death of theory are perhaps greatly exaggerated. Data are not perfect. And data science based on incomplete or biased data has the potential to miss, or mask, important patterns in human activity. This can only be addressed by critical thinking and theory.

Read more: Nobel economics prize winners showed economists how to turn the real world into their laboratory

Authors: Paul X. McCarthy, Adjunct Professor, UNSW Sydney

Read more https://theconversation.com/how-we-communicate-what-we-value-even-who-we-are-8-surprising-things-data-science-has-revealed-about-us-over-the-past-decade-176891

Understanding a dental implant Melbourne Treatment Plan

A dental implant Melbourne patients may consider is one option for replacing a missing tooth, but suitability depends on oral health, bone support a...

How 3PL Logistics Australia Supports Faster and More Efficient Supply Chains

Why Has 3PL Logistics Become Important for Growing Businesses?  Gone are the days when supply chains were simpler and in minimal quantity. Now, the...

Common Skin Concerns and Treatment Options Available in Melbourne

Skin concerns can develop gradually or become noticeable following changes in age, lifestyle, sun exposure or hormonal factors. Pigmentation, rednes...

Why a Code-Compliant Home Can Still Feel Uncomfortable

When people build or renovate a home, they usually expect that meeting current building requirements will also produce a comfortable place to live. ...

Breach of Contract in Business: What Are Your Options?

Contracts are essential to business relationships. They establish expectations, allocate responsibilities and provide a framework for delivering goods...

How Pest Control Companies Can Rank for the Problems Customers Search First

Introduction SEO for Pest Control needs to start with the customer’s problem. Most people do not search for pest services in a neat or technical wa...

What Are the Benefits of Renovating an Older Home in Sydney?

Sydney has plenty of character homes, from Federation cottages to mid-century brick homes. Renovating rather than rebuilding can preserve what makes t...

Pool and Deck Design: How to Plan the Perfect Outdoor Living Space for Your Sydney Home

For many Australians, the backyard is where life happens. Summer barbecues, weekend swims and long evenings outdoors are all part of the lifestyle, ...

Is Solar Pool Heating Worth It? What Sydney Homeowners Should Know

There's nothing quite like a backyard pool on a hot Sydney day. But once autumn rolls in, many pools sit unused for months because the water is simp...

Planning a Luxury House Move: A Week-by-Week Timeline for Prestige Sydney Homes

Selling or buying a prestige home is a major milestone. Whether it's a waterfront residence in Birchgrove, a grand Federation home in Haberfield or ...

Downsizing or Upgrading Your Caravan? Here's How to Sell It Without the Hassle

Selling a caravan can feel like a major task, especially when you are unsure about its value, paperwork, or how to find a buyer. Whether you are dow...

The Best Overseas Adventure Holidays for Australians Who Love the Outdoors

Australia offers no shortage of incredible outdoor experiences, but sometimes the best way to satisfy your sense of adventure is to head overseas. A...

Cape Town Wine Shuttle: Winelands Tasting & Tours

Embark on an unforgettable journey through the picturesque Cape Winelands, where world-class wines and breathtaking scenery await. Our Cape Town Win...

Metal Fabrication: Choosing Metal Fabrication Melbourne Services for Custom Projects

What Modern Metal Fabrication Involves From individual components to complete structures, metal fabrication brings together processes such as desig...

Why Giant Rats Tail Grass Keeps Coming Back After Spraying

Giant Rats Tail Grass (GRT) is one of the most frustrating pasture weeds for farmers and lifestyle property owners. You spray an infested area, see th...

When Custom Cardboard Boxes Make Sense for Your Business

Custom cardboard boxes can be useful when a standard carton does not fit a product, packing method or presentation requirement particularly well. A ...

Full-Height vs. Pop-Top Caravan: Which Is Better for Family Travel across WA?

A pop-top caravan is an excellent choice for travellers who want the comfort of a caravan without committing to a larger, bulkier setup. With a lowe...

Bottle Label Printing: Key Factors for a Professional Finish

Why the Printing Method Matters When businesses need packaging or printed containers developed for a particular application, the right supplier can m...