Modern Australian
The Times

The ‘hobbits’ mysteriously disappeared 50,000 years ago. Our new study reveals what happened to their home

  • Written by Nick Scroxton, Research Fellow, Palaeoclimate, National University of Ireland Maynooth

About 50,000 years ago, humanity lost one of its last surviving hominin cousins, Homo floresiensis (also known as “the hobbit” thanks to its small stature). The cause of its disappearance, after more than a million years living on the isolated volcanic island of Flores, Indonesia, has been a longstanding mystery.

Now, new evidence suggests a period of extreme drought starting about 61,000 years ago may have contributed to the hobbits’ disappearance.

Our new study, published today in Communications Earth & Environment, reveals a story of ecological boom and bust. We’ve compiled the most detailed climate record to date for the site where these ancient hominins once lived.

It turns out that H. floresiensis and one of its primary prey, a pygmy elephant, were both forced away from home by a drought lasting thousands of years – and may have come face-to-face with the much larger Homo sapiens.

An island with deep caves

The discovery of H. floresiensis in 2003 changed our thinking on what makes us human. These diminutive small-brained hominins, standing only 1.1 metres tall, made stone tools. Against the odds, they reached Flores seemingly without boat technology.

Bones and stone tools from H. floresiensis were found in Liang Bua cave, hidden away in a small valley in the uplands of the island. These remains date to between 190,000 and 50,000 years ago.

A small rocky river is bordered by terraced bright green rice paddies, and darker green wooded hills
View of the Wae Racang river looking upstream from Liang Bua towards Liang Luar. Garry K. Smith

Today, Flores has a monsoonal climate with heavy rainfall during wet summers (mostly from November to March) and lighter rain during drier winters (May to September).

However, during the last glacial period there would have been significant variation in both the amount of rainfall and when it arrived.

To find out what the rains were like, our team turned to a cave 700 metres upstream of Liang Bua named Liang Luar. By pure chance, deep inside the cave was a stalagmite that grew right through the H. floresiensis disappearance interval. As stalagmites grow layer by layer from dripping water, their changing chemical composition also records the history of a changing climate.

The ‘hobbits’ mysteriously disappeared 50,000 years ago. Our new study reveals what happened to their home
Our caving team in the deep, brooding interior of Liang Luar in 2006. Garry K. Smith.

Palaeoclimatologists have two main geochemical tools when it comes to reconstructing past rainfall from stalagmites. By looking at a specific measure of oxygen known as d18O, we can see changes in monsoon strength. Meanwhile, the ratio of magnesium to calcium shows us the total rainfall amount.

We paired these measurements for the same samples, precisely anchored them in time, and reconstructed summer, winter and annual rainfall amounts. All this provided unprecedented insight into seasonal climate variability.

We found three key climate phases. It was wetter than today year-round between 91,000 and 76,000 years ago. Between 76,000 and 61,000 years ago, the monsoon was highly seasonal, with wetter summers and drier winters.

Then, between 61,000 and 47,000 years ago, the climate turned much drier in summer, similar to that seen in Southern Queensland today.

The hobbits followed their prey

So we had a well-dated record of major climate change, but what was the ecological response, if any? We needed to build a precise timeline for the fossil evidence of H. floresiensis at Liang Bua.

The solution came unexpectedly from our analysis of d18O in the fossil tooth enamel of Stegodon florensis insularis, a distant extinct pygmy relative of modern elephants.

The ‘hobbits’ mysteriously disappeared 50,000 years ago. Our new study reveals what happened to their home The jawbone and ridged molar of an adult Stegodon florensis florensis, the large-bodied ancestor of Stegodon florensis insularis. Scale bar is 10 cm. Gerrit van den Berg

Juvenile pygmy elephants were one of the hobbits’ key prey, as revealed by cut marks on bones in Liang Bua.

Remarkably, the d18O pattern in the Liang Luar stalagmite and in teeth from increasingly deep sedimentary deposits at Liang Bua aligned perfectly. This allowed us to precisely date the Stegodon fossils and the accompanying remains of H. floresiensis.

The refined timeline showed that about 90% of pygmy elephant remains date to 76,000–61,000 years ago, during the strongly seasonal “Goldilocks” climate. This may have been the ideal environment for the pygmy elephants to graze and for H. floresiensis to hunt them. But both species almost disappeared as the climate got drier.

The ‘hobbits’ mysteriously disappeared 50,000 years ago. Our new study reveals what happened to their home Cross-section of the precisely dated stalagmite used in this study, showing growth layers. The graph shows the improved timeline for Stegodon fossils in two excavation sectors at Liang Bua. Mike Gagan

The decline in rainfall, pygmy elephants and hobbits all at the same time indicates that dwindling resources played a crucial role in what appears to be a progressive abandonment of Liang Bua.

As the climate dried, the primary dry-season water source, the small Wae Racang river, may have dwindled too low, leaving the Stegodon without fresh water. The animals may have migrated out of the area, with H. floresiensis following.

Did a volcano contribute too?

The last few Stegodon fossil remains and stone tools in Liang Bua are covered in a prominent layer of volcanic ash, dated to around 50,000 years ago. We don’t yet know if a nearby volcanic eruption was a “final straw” in the decline of Liang Bua hobbits.

The first archaeological evidence attributed to Homo sapiens is above the ash. So while there is no way of knowing if H. sapiens and H. floresiensis crossed paths, new archaeological and DNA evidence both indicate that H. sapiens were island-hopping across Indonesia to the supercontinent of Sahul by at least 60,000 years ago.

If H. floresiensis were forced by ecological pressures away from their hideaway towards the coast, they may have interacted with modern humans. And if so, could competition, disease, or even predation then have been decisive factors?

Whatever the ultimate cause, our study provides the framework for future studies to examine the extinction of the iconic H. floresiensis in the context of major climate change.

The underlying role of freshwater availability in the demise of one of our human cousins reminds us that humanity’s history is a fragile experiment in survival, and how shifting rainfall patterns can have profound impacts.

Authors: Nick Scroxton, Research Fellow, Palaeoclimate, National University of Ireland Maynooth

Read more https://theconversation.com/the-hobbits-mysteriously-disappeared-50-000-years-ago-our-new-study-reveals-what-happened-to-their-home-268668

Outdoor Wall Lights: Improving Exterior Lighting Around Your Home

Lighting can influence how a room looks, feels and functions, so the right fitting should be selected according to both appearance and practical req...

Commercial Office Cleaning: Combining Routine Office Cleaning With Melbourne Service

Keeping a workplace clean requires a service that can accommodate everyday tasks as well as the particular needs of the business. Professional comme...

Caravan Sales in Queensland: How to Find the Right Caravan for Sale QLD

Caravan ownership is about more than having somewhere to sleep while travelling. For many Queenslanders, it is one of the best ways to explore regio...

What Sir Walter Buffalo Turf Actually Costs in 2026 (And Why Quotes Vary So Much)

Two quotes landed on a Hills District homeowner's kitchen table last spring for the exact same 80-square-metre backyard. One said $12 a metre. The o...

Nearly 1,300 NSW Hospital Beds Are Occupied By People Who Are Ready To Go Home

1,276 people in NSW hospitals have been medically cleared for discharge but remain in hospital because they're still waiting for NDIS or aged care sup...

National Survey Launched to Measure Operational Impacts of Federal NDIS Policy Reforms

The effects of recent NDIS reforms are beginning to move beyond policy papers and into day to day service delivery. A new national survey is asking ...

Beyond the Nappy Cake: Baby Shower Gifts That Get Used

What new Australian parents unwrap, keep, and quietly thank you for months later. Six weeks after my daughter was born, I did an audit of the baby sh...

Parent-Advocates Are Reshaping Frontline Disability Service Delivery

Parents have always been part of the disability sector. They advocate, coordinate services, challenge decisions and often become the person holding ev...

Vista Cruises Enters "Two-Flagship Era" as Vista Aurora Completes Inaugural Voyage

Vista Aurora Sets Sail along the Yangtze. (Photo courtesy of the company)YICHANG, China — August 5, 2026 — Vista Aurora, a high-end interprovinc...

A Digital Preparation Checklist For International Medical Conferences

An international medical conference compresses many responsibilities into a few days. A delegate may need to present research, move between venues, ...

The Growing Popularity of Lab Grown Diamonds in Sydney and Hong Kong

The diamond industry has changed significantly in recent years as more buyers seek ethical, affordable, and sustainable alternatives to mined diamon...

Modern AI SEO Agency vs Traditional SEO: What’s the Difference

Search engine optimisation has changed dramatically over the past few years. Search engines have become smarter, user behaviour has evolved, and bus...

Caravan Travel for Modern Australian Getaways: Plan a Comfortable Holiday

A family road trip is one of the best ways to explore Australia together. And, travelling by caravan gives you the freedom to take your time, stop a...

Mini Excavator and Trailer Package for Sale: What I Buy as One Deal in 2026

The first client who asked me for a mini excavator and trailer package for sale wasn’t trying to save a few hundred dollars on shipping. They we...

Make Dad a Guest in His Own Home This Father’s Day

Father’s Day can accidentally turn Dad into the unpaid event manager of his own celebration. He lights the barbecue, finds extra chairs, checks wh...

Where to Enjoy Your Off-Road Caravan on the Gold Coast

With a caravan, you can travel anywhere and everywhere without battling the rush of the peak holiday season or last-minute reservations. While the r...

How Osteopathy Supports Recovery from Sciatica and Nerve Pain

Sciatica isn't just annoying. It's genuinely painful. It sits deep in your glute and shoots straight down the back of your leg. It turns something as...

The Winter Jewellery Edit: Five Pieces You'll Wear All Season

As wardrobes shift to cosy knits, tailored coats and rich seasonal textures, jewellery becomes the finishing touch that pulls every winter outfit to...